The alternative energy consultants tell us that the passage from the petroleum-driven economy and civilization will not be a comfortable one, on the whole. The number of new technologies and infrastructures that need to be developed and built is staggering - even as Germany accomplishes powering 10% of the entire nation through the use of wind turbines and solar arrays, even as firm after corporation is springing up, helped by various governments' tax breaks and rebate rewards, to drive forward the natural energy mission. We have lain dormant on natural energy on the grand scale for so long that we today have to scramble to play catch-up as access to cheap oil lurks ever closer to being something of the past.
Consultants on natural energy also tell us that we need multilateral, international efforts in concert with one another in the direction of getting away from the hefty-almost total-dependence on fossil fuels. They are positioned to become too expensive, burning them is polluting the ecosystem, and digging for them is disrupting the pure environment. We have about 30 years left of reasonably cheap oil and gas - and specialists say that within 20 years beyond that point, we had better be at least 90% independent of them. Sadly, at the present time the world is mostly not acting as if this is the case. The thirst for oil is growing, not slaking, and it is expanding faster currently than it did even in the 1970s.
Certainly one of the major problems of conversion, the consultants point out, is that higher oil and gas prices spark the economy (This flies in the face of what many energy so-called "authorities" and many members of the public believe, but the fact is that oil and gas are found and processed and transported by huge corporations who seek the services of multitudes of staff workers and contractors; and via their huge profits their stocks remain highly profitable on Wall Street.). Alternative, or "green" energy has got to become more marketplace friendly, more profitable to investors and would-be employers. Wall Street doesn't like change; so there is resistance to this much-needed economic transition. It is because of this that many specialists are saying that we have to have an international, governments-backed move put into place; we are told that we simply cannot expect the new economy to spring forth overnight, all clean and polished and perfected, coming from the black ashes of the fossil fuel economy phoenix.
It is most important that the wealthy, big-production nations such as the US, Japan, Western Europe, and others be the ones to spearhead the effort and hard work to get off of the fossil fuel dependence. Smaller sized, poorer nations are very simply not going to achieve the amount of energy production through coal and oil that these nations have - for by the time they would be in a position to, the cheap access to the fossil fuels will be gone, and they will simply never be able to sustain their newly-risen civilizations at that time as we have been able to do. The time for transition from black to green is today.
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